The problem is a lot of the income comes from the sugar islands, and you can't fight a war on just credit.If your navy is going to be weaker than your Enemies no matter what, then don't have one in the first place.
France's best strategy in the long term for keeping its colonies is to always win the war in Europe and get there colonies back in the negotiations.
Scrap the navy budget to a minimum and increase the army budget.
It was also politics that held France back. Had Louis XIV been in charge there was a chance it could have worked (a chance does not mean a guarantee though).France lost Canada not really because its population was too low, but because the French navy was outclassed by the British. The British could support their troops by sea and blockade the French colonies while the French could do neither of these. The French forces in North America actually fought well given these circumstances, but as the war went on, the effects of the naval disparity grew more and more decisive.
It is often portrayed as a choice Louis XV had to make between the army and the navy, but for a kingdom of 20 million subjects, this should not needed to be a choice, not when the British only had about 7-8 million. On paper, the kingdom of France had the resources to produce a dominant army and navy at the time. So why did this not happen?
Ultimately it was because the British modernized their state finances with the Bank of England, while France’s attempt at a state bank failed. French governments throughout the XVIII century were buried in debt and lacked easy access to credit. This left the treasury regularly short of money, and the kings were then forced to under-fund the navy.
Get the state bank successfully off the ground, and France can have a very different century.
An idea I like, and I'm even trying to included that somewhere into the timeline I'm working on.France could have recruited German immigrants from the Catholic states in the Rhineland, they would have been loyal to the French king and likely have assimilated into the local French population. Even relative small numbers in the late17th and early 18th century would have resulted in a significant increase in the population of French Canada and made a conquest far harder.
In the long term population would matter a lot more, especially if the British don't actually enforce any of their anti-expansion treaties(which honestly they had no reason to practically do and it's hard to enforce anyway).France lost Canada not really because its population was too low, but because the French navy was outclassed by the British. The British could support their troops by sea and blockade the French colonies while the French could do neither of these. The French forces in North America actually fought well given these circumstances, but as the war went on, the effects of the naval disparity grew more and more decisive.
It is often portrayed as a choice Louis XV had to make between the army and the navy, but for a kingdom of 20 million subjects, this should not needed to be a choice, not when the British only had about 7-8 million. On paper, the kingdom of France had the resources to produce a dominant army and navy at the time. So why did this not happen?
Ultimately it was because the British modernized their state finances with the Bank of England, while France’s attempt at a state bank failed. French governments throughout the XVIII century were buried in debt and lacked easy access to credit. This left the treasury regularly short of money, and the kings were then forced to under-fund the navy.
Get the state bank successfully off the ground, and France can have a very different century.
Agree that the Ohio/Mississippi valleys would be more of a challenge. Of course they were not really held by France to begin with, but were essentially controlled by the local tribes who were more or less allies.In the long term population would matter a lot more, especially if the British don't actually enforce any of their anti-expansion treaties(which honestly they had no reason to practically do and it's hard to enforce anyway).
American settlers will cut through and settle in the Mississippi valley and divide French holdings in 2, at that point either France decisively wins against the English to the point where they can enforce their claims but still get a mostly English-speaking hinterland or they will de facto have to recognize 2 smaller and divided Louisiana and Quebec.
And it was this very conflict which enabled England to squeeze through & become a major power(she didn’t have to fight- @ least all by herself- Austria and/or France- which were both bigger than England- since they were busy fighting each other).France was also fight a 300 years war with the Hasburgs of Span and Austria they where fighting on a lot more fronts than England.
France also really didn’t seem, in its heart of hearts, to want to hold onto Canada anyway(remember Voltaire’s con-France had no chance to hold onto New France. French peasants did not need the land so settling a cold climate in greater numbers really isn’t a solution. The Ancien Régime would have needed heavy reforms in order to stop bleeding money and to avoid their revolution as well. If they’re able to do this then they have a chance to regroup for another war with the UK but ultimately France is on borrowed time as far as the Americas are concerned
The French could have allowed the Huguenots to migrate to the colonies following the Edict of Fontainebleau instead of basically forcing them to convert. Yes, the French colonies would be mostly Protestant but it would have driven their numbers up greatly. You could even include a clause that includes a pathway to eventual willing conversion.
England had banking reforms under King William III which enabled them to have the money to fight France also the population exploded to 17 million by the end of the 18th century.And it was this very conflict which enabled England to squeeze through & become a major power(she didn’t have to fight- @ least all by herself- Austria and/or France- which were both bigger than England- since they were busy fighting each other).