When there is a scenario about the Confederacy winning the American Civil War there often is the thread that the CS and US inevitably hate each other,(sometimes the CS does the Golden Circle thing,) the US inevitably joins the CP, the CS always joins the Entente, the CS is always weaker than its Northern counterpart and WW1 is won by the CP. (and sometimes Fascist takeover of the CS.)
However I consider that this thread is not the most likely scenario in a CS victory because:
Most of the industries in the Union were textile based which means that cotton from the South costs more.
Why would the CS and US inevitably hate each other? Can't they peacefully co-exist(although with some tensions between the two)?
The CS would understand that it needs to industrialize and since plantation based economy was on the decline it would be forced to even if the elites wanted to.
If the CS forms the Golden Circle (which is kind of easy at the time since a filibuster can take a Central American nation why wouldn't someone funded by a state be able to?) they would be able to give land to immigrants who would prefer this over having to work into factories, meaning the South would start to surpass the North in white population.
The CS could become quite militarized if there was a fear that the North might invade to conquer the South.
So what really is the most likely future of the CSA? Is the path described above really the most likely or is it the most common because people love this outcome?
However I consider that this thread is not the most likely scenario in a CS victory because:
Most of the industries in the Union were textile based which means that cotton from the South costs more.
Why would the CS and US inevitably hate each other? Can't they peacefully co-exist(although with some tensions between the two)?
The CS would understand that it needs to industrialize and since plantation based economy was on the decline it would be forced to even if the elites wanted to.
If the CS forms the Golden Circle (which is kind of easy at the time since a filibuster can take a Central American nation why wouldn't someone funded by a state be able to?) they would be able to give land to immigrants who would prefer this over having to work into factories, meaning the South would start to surpass the North in white population.
The CS could become quite militarized if there was a fear that the North might invade to conquer the South.
So what really is the most likely future of the CSA? Is the path described above really the most likely or is it the most common because people love this outcome?