Soviet territorial demands
WTH, I knew that Stalin had a quite territorial demands but Libya in Africa... Come again?, Libya.
Soviet territorial demands
WTH, I knew that Stalin had a quite territorial demands but Libya in Africa... Come again?, Libya.
I admit I only have the vaguest notion of this and so am very open to corrections, but as I understand it, the Soviet claim was based on the idea of a division of former Italian colonies. I don't know how serious Moscow was about it all.WTH, I knew that Stalin had a quite territorial demands but Libya in Africa... Come again?
I also assume that the lines of ittl cold war will end up with the WAllies holding everything South of the Carpathians. Greece basically gets handed the Balkans as allies (hopefully a sane Yugoslavia that'll solve their religious differences that informed their ethnicity) and Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania (Romania and bigger Moldova?) being weakened and/or allies (and much weaker than Greece) means that Greece is one of the main players of the Balkans again from pulling from what's essentially most of Turkey's otl industry with better efficiency. Greece will be highly influential in politics of Europe as a result.
There’s no way in hell they can strong arm a nominally allied nation into giving up a huge swath of territory like that; I don’t think the Russians would even conceive of doing so.Yeah... official invasion is unlikely, but I'm still hoping the Soviets strong arm the Iranians to let go of the land thats majority Azerbaijani.
Ēran has been a self-descriptor for Persians talking about Persia since the 3rd century. If anything “Persia” is the less valid exonym forced on them by the Arabs and later the Europeans.(which is what they should be called as Iran shouldn't have gotten the name change so Persia should remain an exonym)
The Turks will just be ethnically cleansed by being pushed East the same way the Baltic/Pomeranian Germans were pushed out of those regions after the war IOTL (and I presume ITTL as well).Greece would definitely push into Turkey and take a lot of Turkic people during occupation which would make western led Turkey veeeery unstable (claims of imperialism will have fertile ground there) so there's precedent to take more land (Bursa is going to be Greek at this point.
I think Greece will naturally see itself as the predominant Balkan and Anatolian nation, leading it to take a leadership position the region simply lacked in the later 20th century IOTL. What this means in terms of other nations’ politics I have no idea. Off the top of my head, in the event of an eventual Soviet collapse Greece would likely step in to try and ensure the independence of Armenia/Georgia/any Balkan Communist states on its own initiative.I think Greece will be one of the most dynamic states in Europe after France because they have to influence/fight in the middle East for survival (at first against the USSR, later as foreign policy to ensure Turkey never gets any ideas).
Yeah that's unrealistic, I'm just trying to make a bigger Azerbaijan.There’s no way in hell they can strong arm a nominally allied nation into giving up a huge swath of territory like that; I don’t think the Russians would even conceive of doing so.
I think that exonyms don't really matter that much? It's like Germany and Deutschland. But that's just me.Ēran has been a self-descriptor for Persians talking about Persia since the 3rd century. If anything “Persia” is the less valid exonym forced on them by the Arabs and later the Europeans.
Terrorism and spillover from civil wars will make the border a nuisance. Greece isn't in actual danger but they have to have troops there too protect its borders nonetheless.It’s possible rump Turkey continues to make trouble at the border but I highly doubt there will be many allowed to stay living inside of post-war Greece.
In OTL both the pro-German plots before the invasion of Iran and the ones after the invasion fell short of Iranian and allied security services. Here Reza's position is relatively weaker, he's not shah and the Germans are in force in Iraq which is how the coup gets launched in the first place. So what should the still alive Teymourtash of OTL be doing? He's not exactly taken by surprise by the coup but should not be particularly beheld by loyalty to the Pahlavis after being sidelined... At least he survived TTL.Somehow I assume he didn't have a good time either... That said how exactly did Teymourtash turn that around that quickly? Did Zahedi just not put up a fight at all? He had enough support to attempt the coup in the first place... did he flee the country?
If they can avoid it why should the British and Soviets invade? Both have their hands full against the Axis. The Soviets used something in the order of 100,000 men and 1,000 tanks in the invasion. That's more than half the fighting power of the Soviet army in the Caucasus. Add to the picture what amounted to three division equivalents for the British.Aww I thought we'd see Iran have a civil war. Would the Brits and USSR still invade them like otl, or would we see bits still resisting and causing USSR to use it as a Casus Belli? Still holding out for greater Azerbaijan.
I wouldn't be counting out the Turkish army so fast. In WW1 they stayed in the fight for four years with a worse supply situation and without German divisions directly aiding them...The offensive in Smyrna would be the final hurrah of the Turks. If this offensive fails, the Germans and Italians won't be able to supply the Turks due to Barbarossa and the Italians having to deal with the Greeks, and with the Turks having no capacity in making new artillery pieces they're in deep trouble. Pangalos after fighting in Sperichos (I hope it's Pangalos pushing back to Thessaly) has a bunch of good options to fight against. The Turks will be an easier target, and it may be better to push into Turkey to knock them out first.
What do we mean by the British model? British divisions were not particularly different organizationally. But the Greeks without a complete disruption as in OTL will be keeping closer to their French organizational roots.When Pangalos reduced the number of divisions, did he turn them into the british model?
12 Italian and 6-7 Bulgarian. That Bulgaria while neutral towards the Soviet Union is fully committed in the Balkans, is from the Axis point of view more than convenient under the circumstances and probably worth the cost in Serb and Greek territory...How many Axis divisions are in Thessaly?
For certain it has avoided invasion. For now at least...It seems Iran will become the newest Ally and a founding member of the UN.
The new Iranian government is in an uhm... pretty delicate position. That said it has negotiating advantages it did not have in OTL like 120,000 Axis troops in Iraq...I think the British and the Soviets will feel that they have to have some troops in Iran, given its importance both as a supply artery and as a source of oil. There is now a neutral-friendly government in Tehran, but London and Moscow won't want to risk another coup, especially with the Germans much closer than OTL. So I could see Soviet and British troops entering the country, but with some sort of face saving invitation from the Iranian government, possibly facilitated by the United States and without any fighting, except possibly some mopping up of Zahedi loyalists, if any. These troops will probably stick around for the duration of the war to guard the eventual lend-lease supply lines, but the numbers will get drawn down considerably once the new regime shows that it is stable and once the German-Turkish forces are pushed out of Iraq.
The Luftwaffe is mostly out, aside from X Fliegerkorps. The Italians still have significant numbers of aircraft in the Balkans, in OTL as late as the Italian surrender in 1943 they had 395 aircraft in the Balkans. Add to the picture the Bulgarian air force although most its aircraft are obsolete. The allies are likely gaining ground as time passes but I frankly doubt the opposition is out.I wonder what is the status of the air battle over the Greek front. I would like to believe that with fewer Luftwaffe units there and with Lend-lease aid, the Allies will be able to contest the skies. Something like a draw or a narrow Allied victory.
I understand he was asking for a Soviet trusteeship over Tripolitania with the French at Fezzan and the British in Cyrenaica? That's where the French start proposing that Libya was returned to Italian administration of the British pushed forth independence...WTH, I knew that Stalin had a quite territorial demands but Libya in Africa... Come again?
One could point to Poland and Czech Ruthenia but yes...There’s no way in hell they can strong arm a nominally allied nation into giving up a huge swath of territory like that; I don’t think the Russians would even conceive of doing so.
Well we Greeks said Persia since the time of Cyrus the great but I believe the general idea stands.Ēran has been a self-descriptor for Persians talking about Persia since the 3rd century. If anything “Persia” is the less valid exonym forced on them by the Arabs and later the Europeans.
Not going to post war arrangements but I would very much doubt any significant Turkish minority within Greece is likely.The Turks will just be ethnically cleansed by being pushed East the same way the Baltic/Pomeranian Germans were pushed out of those regions after the war IOTL (and I presume ITTL as well).
TTL Greece may share the name with the OTL country but as time passes is likely going to be increasingly alien to it. Not just due to being richer or stronger or more populous. Above all it's a matter of confidence...I think Greece will naturally see itself as the predominant Balkan and Anatolian nation, leading it to take a leadership position the region simply lacked in the later 20th century IOTL. What this means in terms of other nations’ politics I have no idea. Off the top of my head, in the event of an eventual Soviet collapse Greece would likely step in to try and ensure the independence of Armenia/Georgia/any Balkan Communist states on its own initiative.
Yeah true, and Azerbaijan will be relatively less powerful than otl after everything, and I'd like to see some differences in the future tho. Annexation by Persia (which is what they should be called as Iran shouldn't have gotten the name change so Persia should remain an exonym) would be an interesting option as Persia can go pan Islamism with more democracy basically. Would be a very interesting nation.
I mean you kinda brought it up but this is why they aren't called Persia, and I don't think that would have changed ttl?I think that exonyms don't really matter that much? It's like Germany and Deutschland. But that's just me.
It will be interesting to see which countries Greece ends up allying with in the ME, if they get Cyprus and it seems like they will, they'd be in a position to maybe not play Kingmaker but at least exert significant influence to the region.I think Greece will naturally see itself as the predominant Balkan and Anatolian nation, leading it to take a leadership position the region simply lacked in the later 20th century IOTL. What this means in terms of other nations’ politics I have no idea. Off the top of my head, in the event of an eventual Soviet collapse Greece would likely step in to try and ensure the independence of Armenia/Georgia/any Balkan Communist states on its own initiative.
That's not really me critiquing, I was just a bit confused because it seemed like Zahedi just disappeared after his coup and Teymourtash stepped in without a word? This just read kinda weird to me?In OTL both the pro-German plots before the invasion of Iran and the ones after the invasion fell short of Iranian and allied security services. Here Reza's position is relatively weaker, he's not shah and the Germans are in force in Iraq which is how the coup gets launched in the first place. So what should the still alive Teymourtash of OTL be doing? He's not exactly taken by surprise by the coup but should not be particularly beheld by loyalty to the Pahlavis after being sidelined... At least he survived TTL.
As a matter of confidence I think they'll be riding the title of 'Held against the Axis invasion' for the next millenium honestly, since that's a title currently only shared by the Soviets and the British. Fuck they can hold that over most of Europe. It'll be interesting to see where the Hellenic identity and geopolitical positions are down the line.TTL Greece may share the name with the OTL country but as time passes is likely going to be increasingly alien to it. Not just due to being richer or stronger or more populous. Above all it's a matter of confidence...
Yeah, I'd tend to agree, but I think that here the Turkish army at difference with the OTL WWI, its fighting in Anatolia simultaneously on two fronts... And, also I guess that even if meanwhile on the Soviet front wouldn't be any changes of importance, (which'd be rather dubious) that a little further forward the line when and if the siege of Smyrna 'd be lifted then I think that Turkey 'd be in a rather compromised strategic situation.I wouldn't be counting out the Turkish army so fast. In WW1 they stayed in the fight for four years with a worse supply situation and without German divisions directly aiding them...
Israel is a good bet, since they’ll be part of the same alliance + will ally with the West. Personally I’d like to see a worse Unit Arab Republic leader that tries to genocide the Jews which prompts the Jews to take more land for strategic depth (like the Footprint of Mussolini? The wars were fun to read at least, and I don’t think the Arabs will do any better ittl.). Kurdistan (if not in the sphere of influence of the USSR, and even if they are they’d be more neutral since they’d most likely be fighting against nominal USSR allies in the ME) and Lebanon should be a good ally if things go differently (Lebanon makes sense but it really depends on post war stuff for the Lebanese).It will be interesting to see which countries Greece ends up allying with in the ME, if they get Cyprus and it seems like they will, they'd be in a position to maybe not play Kingmaker but at least exert significant influence to the region.
I totally agree as in WWII things like tanks and heavy artillery really does matter. When the Turks have none, all they could do is guerrilla warfare where they only have guns (and the supply situation will become even worse since they have no industry) so they can’t actually stop an advancing army. They’ll be a nuisance though. Turkey would be devastated after ittl WWII and would be like the rest of the ME, which is sad in some aspects. The only place left where Turkey can have industry is Cilicia basically.Yeah, I'd tend to agree, but I think that here the Turkish army at difference with the OTL WWI, its fighting in Anatolia simultaneously on two fronts... And, also I guess that even if meanwhile on the Soviet front wouldn't be any changes of importance, (which'd be rather dubious) that a little further forward the line when and if the siege of Smyrna is lifted then I think that Turkey’d be in a rather compromised strategic situation.
The tl starts at 1920, and Reza Shah isn’t Shah, so this may be one of those things that go differently.I mean you kinda brought it up but this is why they aren't called Persia, and I don't think that would have changed ttl?
I think the Greeks will be much more confident and be more right wing than Europe in general. Greece would have to deal and fight in the Middle East so it'd make sense (how that affects American politics in the middle East I'm not sure, but Wahhabism would be more prevalent espicially in Turkey which will prompt Greek action in the late 20th century. Greece would be an active part of the Arab-Israeli wars and I'd think they would try to expand Israel and try to turn Lebanon to a state that is an ally of Israel by embracing Christianity).As a matter of confidence I think they'll be riding the title of 'Held against the Axis invasion' for the next millenium honestly, since that's a title currently only shared by the Soviets and the British. Fuck they can hold that over most of Europe. It'll be interesting to see where the Hellenic identity and geopolitical positions are down the line.
Thanks a lot for the kind words.Just caught up with the TL marvelous work!
Well how likely it is he gets shot down by friendly fire 2 decades post-POD? Not very much I would think. How much influence does his survival have potentially on Italian politics? That's an interesting question to which I don't necessarily have a good answer at the moment. The man was capable, had connections to the monarchy and being openly against the German alliance is certainly something he could capitalize upon. But in terms of Italian post-war politics with all else being equal how much influence he potentially has? I would expect he's not exactly popular with the MSI if he was against the RSI. What out Italian readers think?Italo Balbo not dead...he wasn't a big fan of the german alliance..in fact he wanted Italy on the side of the British..this could have big consequences when the allies land in Italy...
Well, the difference is 120,000 Turks and Germans decided that those Iraqi oil fields looked awful nice and gee look whose in need of some foreign support. However given the success of the Allied counteroffensive, inability to replace equipment losses by the Axis (especially Turkey), and the Soviet participation in the Anatolian Theater, I think that the Axis will be pushed out of the Middle East quite soon.So basically Barbarossa continues on and Italy loses steam against Greece, which is always good. Would the Armistice in September 1943 be different than otl considering that Greece would be a player or that the allies would be somewhat distracted by Yugoslavia?
The Iraq war is a bit weird as otl the war ends at May while ittl the war's still ongoing in August. Did the war just occur later or did the allies move slower ittl.
Ah that makes a lot of sense. Turkey's pushed at multiple fronts though, and I'd see them crumble soonish. Maybe 1942-3?Well, the difference is 120,000 Turks and Germans decided that those Iraqi oil fields looked awful nice and gee look whose in need of some foreign support. However given the success of the Allied counteroffensive, inability to replace equipment losses by the Axis (especially Turkey), and the Soviet participation in the Anatolian Theater, I think that the Axis will be pushed out of the Middle East quite soon.