The deployment of Australian 2/3 Light Anti Aircraft Battery, to Singapore is a prim example of just how far this Time Line has diverged from ours. IOTL, this unit would still be in North Africa, taking part in the ongoing Bengasi races. Instead thanks to the fact that the Middle East campaign is effectively on hold at present, while the British wait to see which way they French in FNA and the Levent jump. This unit has been returned to Australia, completely re equipped, with far better guns than it had been using in North Africa. It’s troopers have ether been posted away to other green formations, to bolster them with experienced before their deployment, or after promotion to form the core of a new formation. This unit that when we first met it, were a poorly trained badly equipped formation, sent into action with hand-me down second hand Italian guns. Is now an experienced battle hardened unit, refreshed, rested, and re equipped, with what was probably the best light AA gun of the war.
Their arrival in theatre is going to be a big shock to the inexperienced Japanese pilots, and swiftly take a toll. Remember at this stage in the war, the Japanese airforces, have yet to encounter organised well equipped AA units, and are pretty much used to having the air to themselves. It is they who are going to have to learn, that’s those who survive the early encounters, how to fight when your enemy has effective AA fire. This Australian unit has once in theatre is not going to have to go through extensive acclimatisation or jungle training, given that the role is primarily the defensive of strategic areas, such as docks, railheads and airfields. They can swiftly be deployed and placed in action. In comparison to their experience in North Africa, they are not going to face a battle hardened opponent, equipped with rugged aircraft, designed to fight in contested airspace. The Japanese are flying light unarmored aircraft, that are highly susceptible to AA fire, which will catch light with damage that the German aircraft would survive.
The decision to transfer the forces from the grand old lady Aquitania, to smaller ships, is totally correct. Built in 1913, she would have been but for the outbreak of the war, sent to the breakers yard. And while she is in many ways better constructed than her contemporary Titanic, being both double bottomed and double hulled, she is still an old big soft target, one that the Japanese would love to claim. The fact that the British are in a much stronger position than they were IOTL, and thus able to enact such a manoeuvre, is an indication of how much this Time Line has diverged from ours. The Middle East and Mediterranean are essentially stable for now, and Japans failure to blitz Malaya and capture Singapore, mean that their campaign in the Far East and DEI, is steadily coming off the rails. Unless they can achieve all their original goals before the onset of the monsoon, there is a good chance that come the monsoon, they will find themselves back on the Malayan Thailand border, very much on the defensive. With Burma and the majority of the DEI, still in British/Dutch control, and the British/Dutch still able to export the strategic resources that the Japanese are desperate for.
While there is no question that the British especially are going to come under increasing pressure from the Americans to divert resources to the relief of their situation in the Philippines. There given the present conditions, very little that the British can do, other than run in by submarines limited amounts of food and medical supplies. While evacuating essential personal and seriously wounded, along with any women and children trapped behind the American front line. But there is no question that some of the American establishment, will demand that the British do more, irrespective of what is best for Britain. The present ongoing conference taking place in Washington is going to be in some areas very contentious, with the British and Americans talking past each other. Britains number one priority is the Battle of the Atlantic, every thing else takes second place, the bombing campaign against Germany, the campaign in the Mediterranean, and the campaign in the Far East. As for invading the European mainland, we will talk about that once we have ‘won’ the Battle of the Atlantic. The Americans safe and secure in America will want to talk about revenge against the Japanese, and destroying the Germans and their ability to make war. Plus not said, the dissolution of the British Empire, which was always something that meany Americans, especially big business sort to achieve.
However despite the various issues, one thing should be remembered, the Japanese were even before they attacked the Americans and British, loosing the war. In the same way that the Germans started a conflict that they couldn’t win, given the disparity between the German economy, and that of the British and French Empires. Which they have only compounded by attacking the Soviet Union, which added the one thing that the British and French were not prepared to expend, manpower. So too with the Japanese, having taken on a nation with over three times their population, they are now going up against the two largest Empires in the world, Britain and America, who have between them access to virtually all the resources they could require. The only question now is how long it’s going to take to end the war, and what the cost is.
RR.